Value bet: Granada CF to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGranada CF to win37% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.65
Albacete vs Granada CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Segunda División brings Albacete against Granada CF at Estadio Carlos Belmonte. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Albacete are 21st, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Granada CF are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Albacete, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mirandes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Granada CF, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cultural Leonesa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albacete 1.2 xG, Granada CF 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albacete 36%, draw 27%, Granada CF 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Granada CF to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albacete 1–1 Granada CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albacete36%fair 2.81 · @2.36
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.96
Granada CF37%fair 2.69 · @3.25
2.62Expected goals
1.24Albacete xG
1.38Granada CF xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albacete 1.2 – 1.4 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albacete
Granada CF
Attack vs Segunda División average
-13%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.56
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Granada CF to win
37%
2.69
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.77
Draw no bet
Granada CF (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Albacete +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Granada CF to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Granada CF / FT Granada CF
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Albacete – last 5
DWDLD
31 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Las Palmas
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Almeria
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Malaga
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sporting Gijon
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Granada CF – last 6
WLLWDL
12 Apr
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Castellón
2–3
L
2 Apr
@ Las Palmas
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Real Sociedad II
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs FC Andorra
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete and Granada CF.
What is the prediction for Albacete vs Granada CF?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Albacete vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Albacete have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Granada CF 37%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Granada CF?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Granada CF?
Our predicted score is Albacete 1–1 Granada CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albacete vs Granada CF?
Albacete vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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