Fenerbahçe 46%Draw 24%Beşiktaş 31%Expected goals 1.71 – 1.36
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Beşiktaş to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✓46% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Fenerbahçe v Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig, played at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu. In the table, Fenerbahçe are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Beşiktaş are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fenerbahçe, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Gaziantep FK, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Beşiktaş, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kasımpaşa, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Beşiktaş, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Fenerbahçe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenerbahçe 1.7 xG, Beşiktaş 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenerbahçe 46%, draw 24%, Beşiktaş 31%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Beşiktaş to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenerbahçe 1–1 Beşiktaş. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenerbahçe46%fair 2.20 · @1.98
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.60
Beşiktaş31%fair 3.26 · @3.50
3.08Expected goals
1.71Fenerbahçe xG
1.36Beşiktaş xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 1.7 – 1.4 Beşiktaş expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win✓
46%
2.20
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Fenerbahçe (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Beşiktaş +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Fenerbahçe to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenerbahçe / FT Fenerbahçe✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Fenerbahçe – last 6
WLWWDW
17 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
4–1
W
13 Mar
@ Fatih Karagümrük
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Samsunspor
3–2
W
4 Mar
@ Gaziantep FK
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Beşiktaş – last 5
WWWWW
19 Mar
vs Kasımpaşa
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rizespor
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Göztepe
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Başakşehir
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Beşiktaş 31%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 1–1 Beşiktaş, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük2
Antalyaspor3