Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 2.82 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFatih Karagümrük to win ✓38% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.66
Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Fatih Karagümrük v Rizespor in the Süper Lig, played at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı.
Current form
Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kayserispor, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rizespor, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Antalyaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rizespor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Fatih Karagümrük.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fatih Karagümrük 1.4 xG, Rizespor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fatih Karagümrük 38%, draw 26%, Rizespor 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Fatih Karagümrük to win @2.82 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Rizespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fatih Karagümrük38%fair 2.66 · @2.82
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.40
Rizespor36%fair 2.74 · @2.38
2.58Expected goals
1.36Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.22Rizespor xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 1.4 – 1.2 Rizespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fatih Karagümrük to win✓
38%
2.66
2.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Draw no bet
Fatih Karagümrük (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Rizespor +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
First team to score
Fatih Karagümrük to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
LWDWLD
19 Mar
@ Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Fenerbahçe
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gaziantep FK
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Fethiyespor
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Trabzonspor
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Samsunspor
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rizespor – last 5
WLWWD
8 Mar
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Kocaelispor
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Genclerbirligi
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Rizespor.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rizespor 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Rizespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Rizespor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antalyaspor3