Samsunspor v Konyaspor Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSamsunspor to win ✗40% · @2.24

Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 April the Süper Lig brings Samsunspor against Konyaspor at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Samsunspor are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Konyaspor are 15th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Samsunspor, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rayo Vallecano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Konyaspor, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gençlerbirliği S.K., at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Samsunspor 1.3 xG, Konyaspor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Samsunspor 40%, draw 27%, Konyaspor 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samsunspor 1–1 Konyaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Samsunspor40%fair 2.49 · @2.24

Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.25

Konyaspor33%fair 3.07 · @3.15

2.37Expected goals

1.26Samsunspor xG

1.11Konyaspor xG

51%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.3 – 1.1 Konyaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Samsunspor to win ✗	40%	2.49	2.24
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	73%	1.37	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	1.85
Draw no bet	Samsunspor (draw no bet)	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Konyaspor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	78%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.07
First team to score	Samsunspor to score first	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Samsunspor / FT Samsunspor ✗	23%	4.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.11	–

Samsunspor – last 6

WWLLWD

19 Mar	@ Rayo Vallecano	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Kayserispor	2–1	W
12 Mar	vs Rayo Vallecano	1–3	L
8 Mar	@ Fenerbahçe	2–3	L
5 Mar	@ Antalyaspor	2–0	W
1 Mar	vs Gaziantep FK	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Konyaspor – last 5

WWDWL

19 Mar	vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.	1–0	W
14 Mar	@ Kocaelispor	2–1	W
8 Mar	vs Kasımpaşa	1–1	D
5 Mar	@ Eyüpspor	1–0	W
27 Feb	@ Başakşehir	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

40%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	11	9	1	1	+12	28
2	Trabzonspor	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Amed	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Beşiktaş	11	7	1	3	+11	22
5	Kasımpaşa	11	5	5	1	+6	20
6	Fenerbahçe	11	6	1	4	+19	19
7	Kocaelispor	11	6	1	4	+4	19
8	Başakşehir	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Çorum FK	11	5	1	5	0	16
10	Göztepe	11	4	3	4	+3	15
11	Rizespor	11	4	2	5	-3	14
12	Erzurumspor FK	11	4	2	5	-7	14
13	Alanyaspor	11	3	3	5	-9	12
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	11	3	2	6	-9	11
15	Konyaspor	11	2	2	7	-8	8
16	Gaziantep FK	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Samsunspor	11	2	1	8	-15	7
18	Eyüpspor	11	1	0	10	-27	3

Team

Pts

+12

+18

+13

+11

+19

-3

-7

-9

-9

-8

-10

-15

-27

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

On our numbers Samsunspor have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Konyaspor 33%.

How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–1 Konyaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Samsunspor v Konyaspor: numbers & prediction