Estrela vs GIL Vicente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
GIL Vicente travel to face Estrela on Sunday 8 March in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio José Gomes the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Estrela are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; GIL Vicente are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrela 1.1 xG, GIL Vicente 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrela 25%, draw 25%, GIL Vicente 50%.
Lower-risk option: GIL Vicente or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrela 1–1 GIL Vicente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrela25%fair 4.04 · @4.35
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.35
GIL Vicente50%fair 1.99 · @1.84
2.61Expected goals
1.14Estrela xG
1.47GIL Vicente xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Estrela 1.1 – 1.5 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✗
50%
1.99
1.84
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Draw no bet
GIL Vicente (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Estrela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
GIL Vicente to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Estrela – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Tondela
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
GIL Vicente – last 2
LL
2 Mar
vs Benfica
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Estoril
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela and GIL Vicente.
What is the prediction for Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers Estrela have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and GIL Vicente 50%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is Estrela 1–1 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Estrela vs GIL Vicente?
Estrela vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Gomes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
