Santa Clara 39%Draw 29%Guimaraes 33%Expected goals 1.25 – 0.99
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSanta Clara to win39% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.14
Santa Clara vs Guimaraes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guimaraes travel to face Santa Clara on Sunday 8 March in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio de São Miguel the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Santa Clara are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Guimaraes are 14th (lower half) with 9. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santa Clara, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tondela, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Clara 1.3 xG, Guimaraes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Clara 39%, draw 29%, Guimaraes 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Clara 1–1 Guimaraes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Clara39%fair 2.59 · @2.64
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @3.00
Guimaraes33%fair 3.05 · @2.80
2.24Expected goals
1.25Santa Clara xG
0.99Guimaraes xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.3 – 1.0 Guimaraes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win
39%
2.59
2.64
Double chance
Either team to win
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Clara (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Guimaraes +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Santa Clara to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Santa Clara – last 3
DDL
1 Mar
@ Tondela
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Alverca
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Benfica
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guimaraes
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and Guimaraes.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
On our numbers Santa Clara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Guimaraes 33%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1–1 Guimaraes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara vs Guimaraes?
Santa Clara vs Guimaraes (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Miguel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
