Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win64% · @1.28
Double chanceSporting CP or draw86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.18
Alverca vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Alverca v Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga, played at FC Alverca Sports Complex. In the table, Alverca are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Sporting CP are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting CP, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over BodoGlimt, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alverca 0.9 xG, Sporting CP 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alverca 14%, draw 22%, Sporting CP 64%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alverca 0–2 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alverca14%fair 7.01 · @11.50
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @5.10
Sporting CP64%fair 1.56 · @1.28
2.72Expected goals
0.89Alverca xG
1.84Sporting CP xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alverca 0.9 – 1.8 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win
64%
1.56
1.28
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw
86%
1.17
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Alverca +1.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Alverca – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Santa Clara
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Tondela
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 5
WLWWW
17 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ BodoGlimt
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs FC Porto
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Estoril
3–0
W
15 Feb
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alverca and Sporting CP.
What is the prediction for Alverca vs Sporting CP?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alverca vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Alverca have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting CP 64%.
How many goals will there be in Alverca vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Alverca 0–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alverca vs Sporting CP?
Alverca vs Sporting CP (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at FC Alverca Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
