SC Braga 28%Draw 28%FC Porto 45%Expected goals 1.01 – 1.39
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Porto to win45% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.31
SC Braga vs FC Porto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: SC Braga v FC Porto in the Primeira Liga, played at Estádio Municipal de Braga. In the table, SC Braga are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; FC Porto are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Porto, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over VfB Stuttgart, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Braga 1.0 xG, FC Porto 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Braga 28%, draw 28%, FC Porto 45%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Braga 1–1 FC Porto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Braga28%fair 3.60 · @3.30
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.15
FC Porto45%fair 2.24 · @2.22
2.40Expected goals
1.01SC Braga xG
1.39FC Porto xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: SC Braga 1.0 – 1.4 FC Porto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win
45%
2.24
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
FC Porto (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
SC Braga +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
FC Porto to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
SC Braga – last 2
WL
18 Mar
vs Ferencvarosi TC
4–0
W
12 Mar
@ Ferencvarosi TC
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Porto – last 6
WWDLWW
19 Mar
vs VfB Stuttgart
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ VfB Stuttgart
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Benfica
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Sporting CP
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arouca
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Rio Ave
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Braga and FC Porto.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SC Braga vs FC Porto?
On our numbers SC Braga have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and FC Porto 45%.
How many goals will there be in SC Braga vs FC Porto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs FC Porto?
Our predicted score is SC Braga 1–1 FC Porto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SC Braga vs FC Porto?
SC Braga vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
