Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstoril to win ✗50% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Estoril vs Rio Ave: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rio Ave travel to face Estoril on Sunday 22 March in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio António Coimbra da Mota the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Estoril are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Rio Ave are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Estoril, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nacional, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Rio Ave, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estrela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estoril 1.6 xG, Rio Ave 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estoril 50%, draw 24%, Rio Ave 26%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estoril 1–1 Rio Ave. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estoril50%fair 2.01 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.90
Rio Ave26%fair 3.88 · @4.10
2.87Expected goals
1.58Estoril xG
1.29Rio Ave xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.6 – 1.3 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estoril to win✗
50%
2.01
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Estoril (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Rio Ave +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
Estoril to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estoril / FT Estoril✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Estoril – last 4
WLWL
15 Mar
@ Nacional
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Sporting CP
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs GIL Vicente
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ AVS
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Rio Ave – last 4
WWLL
15 Mar
vs Estrela
2–1
W
9 Mar
@ Tondela
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC Porto
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Moreirense
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estoril and Rio Ave.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Estoril vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers Estoril have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rio Ave 26%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is Estoril 1–1 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Estoril vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
