Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Benfica to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win41% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.76
Sporting CP vs Benfica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benfica travel to face Sporting CP on Sunday 19 April in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio José Alvalade the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Benfica are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Sporting CP, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arsenal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Benfica, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Casa Pia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 1.5 xG, Benfica 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 41%, draw 24%, Benfica 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Benfica to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 1–1 Benfica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP41%fair 2.42 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Benfica35%fair 2.87 · @3.20
3.05Expected goals
1.55Sporting CP xG
1.51Benfica xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 1.5 – 1.5 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win
41%
2.42
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.57
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Benfica +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.15
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Sporting CP – last 6
DLWLWW
15 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–0
D
7 Apr
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ BodoGlimt
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs FC Porto
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Estoril
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Benfica – last 6
DDWLLW
6 Apr
@ Casa Pia
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs FC Porto
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ GIL Vicente
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Santa Clara
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Benfica.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Benfica?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Benfica 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Benfica?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 1–1 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Benfica?
Sporting CP vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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