Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✓40% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Feirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Lusitânia Lourosa v Feirense in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio do Lusitânia FC. In the table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Feirense are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.3 xG, Feirense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 40%, draw 29%, Feirense 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 Feirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitânia Lourosa40%fair 2.49 · @2.54
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @3.05
Feirense30%fair 3.28 · @2.72
2.19Expected goals
1.28Lusitânia Lourosa xG
0.91Feirense xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.3 – 0.9 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lusitânia Lourosa
Feirense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-0%
-47%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.08
0.60
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitânia Lourosa to win✓
40%
2.49
2.54
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Lusitânia Lourosa (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Feirense +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Lusitânia Lourosa to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Penafiel
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Feirense – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Chaves
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and Feirense.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Feirense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Feirense?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Feirense 30%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Feirense?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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