Pacos Ferreira vs Oliveirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Segunda Liga brings Pacos Ferreira against Oliveirense at Estádio da Capital do Móvel. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pacos Ferreira 1.3 xG, Oliveirense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pacos Ferreira 41%, draw 27%, Oliveirense 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pacos Ferreira 1–1 Oliveirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pacos Ferreira41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
Oliveirense32%fair 3.12 · @2.98
2.49Expected goals
1.35Pacos Ferreira xG
1.14Oliveirense xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.3 – 1.1 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pacos Ferreira
Oliveirense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-10%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.35
1.12
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pacos Ferreira to win✗
41%
2.44
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Pacos Ferreira (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Oliveirense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pacos Ferreira to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Pacos Ferreira – last 2
LD
23 Feb
@ FC Porto B
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torreense
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Oliveirense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Oliveirense.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Oliveirense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Oliveirense 32%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Oliveirense?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–1 Oliveirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Oliveirense?
Pacos Ferreira vs Oliveirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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