União de Leiria 37%Draw 27%Maritimo 37%Expected goals 1.46 – 1.40
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✗37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
União de Leiria vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maritimo travel to face União de Leiria on Sunday 15 March in the Segunda Liga, with Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Maritimo, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Porto B, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União de Leiria 1.5 xG, Maritimo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União de Leiria 37%, draw 27%, Maritimo 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: União de Leiria 1–1 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União de Leiria37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.90
Maritimo37%fair 2.73 · @2.38
2.86Expected goals
1.46União de Leiria xG
1.40Maritimo xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.5 – 1.4 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
União de Leiria
Maritimo
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+21%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.59
1.43
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
37%
2.72
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Maritimo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
União de Leiria – last 2
WD
8 Mar
@ Leixoes
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 4
WLWW
8 Mar
vs FC Porto B
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vizela
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Maritimo 37%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Maritimo?
União de Leiria vs Maritimo (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
