Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Vizela v Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio Do Vizela. In the table, Vizela are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Vizela, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Felgueiras 1932, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lusitânia Lourosa, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sporting CP B, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vizela, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Lusitânia Lourosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vizela 1.3 xG, Lusitânia Lourosa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vizela 45%, draw 27%, Lusitânia Lourosa 28%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vizela 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vizela45%fair 2.22 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Lusitânia Lourosa28%fair 3.55 · @3.75
2.49Expected goals
1.34Vizela xG
1.15Lusitânia Lourosa xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vizela 1.3 – 1.1 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vizela
Lusitânia Lourosa
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-4%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.22
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win✓
45%
2.22
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.91
Draw no bet
Vizela (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Lusitânia Lourosa +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Vizela to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vizela / FT Vizela✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Vizela – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
@ Felgueiras 1932
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Leixoes
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Maritimo
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 4
WLWL
8 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Farense
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Feirense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Penafiel
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vizela and Lusitânia Lourosa.
What is the prediction for Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
On our numbers Vizela have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lusitânia Lourosa 28%.
How many goals will there be in Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our predicted score is Vizela 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Vizela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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