Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMaritimo to win50% · @1.80
Double chanceMaritimo or draw77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.85
Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Pacos Ferreira v Maritimo in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
Current form
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to União de Leiria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Maritimo, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over União de Leiria, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maritimo, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.4 for Pacos Ferreira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pacos Ferreira 1.0 xG, Maritimo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pacos Ferreira 23%, draw 27%, Maritimo 50%.
Lower-risk option: Maritimo or draw (77%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pacos Ferreira 1–1 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pacos Ferreira23%fair 4.34 · @4.20
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.35
Maritimo50%fair 1.99 · @1.80
2.53Expected goals
1.04Pacos Ferreira xG
1.50Maritimo xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.0 – 1.5 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pacos Ferreira
Maritimo
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-10%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.46
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maritimo to win
50%
1.99
1.80
Double chance
Maritimo or draw
77%
1.30
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Maritimo (draw no bet)
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Maritimo to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maritimo / FT Maritimo
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Pacos Ferreira – last 5
LLDLD
29 Mar
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ FC Porto B
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torreense
0–0
D
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 5
WWLWW
15 Mar
@ União de Leiria
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Porto B
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vizela
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Maritimo 50%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo?
Pacos Ferreira vs Maritimo (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Capital do Móvel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Farense0
Feirense1
Sporting CP B1
Penafiel2
Academico Viseu
Felgueiras 1932