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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Farense v Feirense: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estádio de São Lúis
0–1
FT
Farense 45%Draw 28%Feirense 26% Expected goals 1.24 – 0.80
74%
Betarazi pick

Farense or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFarense to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceFarense or draw ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51

Farense vs Feirense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 April the Segunda Liga brings Farense against Feirense at Estádio de São Lúis. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Farense are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Feirense are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Farense, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Felgueiras 1932, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Feirense, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sporting CP B, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farense 1.2 xG, Feirense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Farense 45%, draw 28%, Feirense 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Farense or draw (74%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Farense or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farense 1–0 Feirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farense45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.00
Feirense26%fair 3.78 · @3.50
2.04Expected goals
1.24Farense xG
0.80Feirense xG
54%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Farense 1.2 – 0.8 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FarenseFeirense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average+13%-47%
Goals conceded vs average+7%-19%
Our expected goals here1.230.70

Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFarense to win ✗45%2.222.05
Double chanceFarense or draw ✗74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.95
Draw no betFarense (draw no bet) ✗63%1.59–
Asian handicapFeirense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreFarense to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Farense / FT Farense ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.51–

Recent results

Farense – last 3

DWL
13 Marvs Felgueiras 19320–0D
1 Marvs Lusitânia Lourosa2–1W
22 Feb@ Chaves0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Feirense – last 6

LWLDLW
22 Marvs Sporting CP B1–2L
15 Marvs Penafiel1–0W
9 Mar@ Benfica B0–3L
2 Marvs Felgueiras 19320–0D
22 Feb@ Lusitânia Lourosa0–1L
14 Febvs Chaves1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Farense and Feirense.

Farense vs Feirense head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farense vs Feirense?

Our pick is Farense or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Farense vs Feirense?

On our numbers Farense have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Feirense 26%.

How many goals will there be in Farense vs Feirense?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farense vs Feirense?

Our predicted score is Farense 1–0 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Farense vs Feirense?

Farense vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Lúis.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.