Benfica B 34%Draw 26%Maritimo 40%Expected goals 1.27 – 1.23
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Benfica B to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMaritimo to win40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.72
Benfica B vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maritimo travel to face Benfica B on Sunday 26 April in the Segunda Liga, with Benfica Campus the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Benfica B, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Oliveirense, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Maritimo, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over União de Leiria, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maritimo, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.4 for Benfica B.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benfica B 1.3 xG, Maritimo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benfica B 34%, draw 26%, Maritimo 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Benfica B to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benfica B 1–1 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benfica B34%fair 2.97 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Maritimo40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.27Benfica B xG
1.23Maritimo xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Benfica B 1.3 – 1.2 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Benfica B
Maritimo
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+7%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.08
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maritimo to win
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Maritimo (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Maritimo +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Benfica B to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica B / FT Benfica B
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.72
–
Recent results
Benfica B – last 5
LWWDL
22 Apr
@ Oliveirense
0–3
L
7 Apr
@ Vizela
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Feirense
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Penafiel
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Torreense
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 5
WWLWW
15 Mar
@ União de Leiria
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Porto B
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vizela
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica B and Maritimo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Benfica B vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Benfica B have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Maritimo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica B vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica B vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Benfica B 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Benfica B vs Maritimo?
Benfica B vs Maritimo (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Benfica Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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