Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lusitânia Lourosa welcome Pacos Ferreira to Estádio do Lusitânia FC for a Segunda Liga fixture on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Portimonense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Chaves, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.4 xG, Pacos Ferreira 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 42%, draw 27%, Pacos Ferreira 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Pacos Ferreira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitânia Lourosa42%fair 2.37 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.05
Pacos Ferreira31%fair 3.26 · @3.00
2.48Expected goals
1.40Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.08Pacos Ferreira xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.4 – 1.1 Pacos Ferreira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lusitânia Lourosa
Pacos Ferreira
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-0%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.00
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitânia Lourosa to win✓
42%
2.37
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Lusitânia Lourosa (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Lusitânia Lourosa to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6
LDDLLW
19 Apr
@ Portimonense
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs FC Porto B
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ União de Leiria
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vizela
3–4
L
8 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
WDLLDL
18 Apr
vs Chaves
4–3
W
10 Apr
@ Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ FC Porto B
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and Pacos Ferreira.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pacos Ferreira 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Pacos Ferreira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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