Çorum FK 79%Draw 13%Hatayspor 7%Expected goals 2.78 – 0.72
72%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.22
7/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultÇorum FK to win79% · @1.05
Double chanceÇorum FK or draw93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.89
Çorum FK vs Hatayspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Çorum FK v Hatayspor in the 1. Lig, played at Corum Stadyumu.
Current form
Çorum FK, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manisa F.K., away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Hatayspor, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bodrum FK, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Çorum FK, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Hatayspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Çorum FK 2.8 xG, Hatayspor 0.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Çorum FK 79%, draw 13%, Hatayspor 7%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Çorum FK 3–0 Hatayspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Çorum FK79%fair 1.26 · @1.05
Draw13%fair 7.43 · @9.00
Hatayspor7%fair 14.13 · @29.00
3.50Expected goals
2.78Çorum FK xG
0.72Hatayspor xG
54%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
1–08%
2–18%
3–18%
4–08%
From our goals model: Çorum FK 2.8 – 0.7 Hatayspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Çorum FK to win
79%
1.26
1.05
Double chance
Çorum FK or draw
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.87
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Çorum FK (draw no bet)
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Çorum FK -1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
First team to score
Çorum FK to score first
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Çorum FK ahead at half-time
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Çorum FK / FT Çorum FK
56%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Çorum FK – last 4
WWWL
2 Mar
@ Manisa F.K.
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Ümraniyespor
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Serik Belediyespor
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs İstanbulspor
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hatayspor – last 4
LLLL
28 Feb
vs Bodrum FK
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Bandırmaspor
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Boluspor
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Çorum FK and Hatayspor.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
On our numbers Çorum FK have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Hatayspor 7%.
How many goals will there be in Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
Our predicted score is Çorum FK 3–0 Hatayspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Çorum FK vs Hatayspor?
Çorum FK vs Hatayspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Corum Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Erzurumspor FK8
Manisa F.K.1
Sivasspor0
Keçiörengücü1
Bandırmaspor1
İstanbulspor0
Amed
Serik Spor