Sivasspor v Keçiörengücü Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSivasspor to win ✗44% · @1.91

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09

Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sivasspor welcome Keçiörengücü to BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu for a 1. Lig fixture on Saturday 7 March (11:30 WAT). In the table, Sivasspor are 18th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 14 matches; Keçiörengücü are 6th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Sivasspor, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Serik Spor, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Keçiörengücü, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Erzurumspor FK, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sivasspor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Keçiörengücü.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sivasspor 1.4 xG, Keçiörengücü 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sivasspor 44%, draw 23%, Keçiörengücü 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Keçiörengücü to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sivasspor 1–1 Keçiörengücü. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sivasspor44%fair 2.28 · @1.91

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50

Keçiörengücü33%fair 3.05 · @3.40

2.89Expected goals

1.43Sivasspor xG

1.47Keçiörengücü xG

60%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–28%

2–18%

0–18%

1–08%

2–26%

From our goals model: Sivasspor 1.4 – 1.5 Keçiörengücü expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sivasspor to win ✗	44%	2.28	1.91
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.57
Draw no bet	Sivasspor (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Sivasspor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	77%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.82	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
First team to score	Keçiörengücü to score first ✓	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Keçiörengücü / FT Keçiörengücü ✓	23%	4.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.09	–

Sivasspor – last 3

WWD

1 Mar	@ Serik Spor	1–0	W
23 Feb	vs Sakaryaspor	4–1	W
19 Feb	@ Adana Demirspor	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Keçiörengücü – last 3

LWL

4 Mar	@ Erzurumspor FK	2–4	L
23 Feb	@ Pendikspor	1–0	W
18 Feb	vs Erzurum BB	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

On our numbers Sivasspor have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Keçiörengücü 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Our predicted score is Sivasspor 1–1 Keçiörengücü, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Sivasspor vs Keçiörengücü (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sivasspor v Keçiörengücü: numbers & prediction