Erzurumspor FK v Manisa F.K. Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✓59% · @1.40

Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓83% · @1.03

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Erzurumspor FK v Manisa F.K. in the 1. Lig, played at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.

Current form

Erzurumspor FK, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Keçiörengücü, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 4.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Manisa F.K., last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Çorum FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Erzurumspor FK, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Manisa F.K..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Erzurumspor FK 1.8 xG, Manisa F.K. 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Erzurumspor FK 59%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 17%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Manisa F.K.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Erzurumspor FK59%fair 1.69 · @1.40

Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.90

Manisa F.K.17%fair 5.76 · @7.75

2.79Expected goals

1.77Erzurumspor FK xG

1.02Manisa F.K. xG

54%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–011%

2–110%

2–010%

0–16%

0–06%

From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.8 – 1.0 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Erzurumspor FK to win ✓	59%	1.69	1.40
Double chance	Erzurumspor FK or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.03
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.87	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Erzurumspor FK (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Manisa F.K. +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Erzurumspor FK to score first ✓	60%	1.68	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK ✓	34%	2.94	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.19	–

Erzurumspor FK – last 5

WWWWW

4 Mar	vs Keçiörengücü	4–2	W
28 Feb	@ Van Spor Kulübü	3–0	W
22 Feb	vs Serik Belediyespor	4–0	W
18 Feb	@ Keçiörengücü	2–1	W
14 Feb	vs Adana Demirspor	7–0	W

4.0Scored / game

0.6Conceded / game

40%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Manisa F.K. – last 4

LWWL

2 Mar	vs Çorum FK	0–1	L
22 Feb	@ BB Bodrumspor	2–1	W
18 Feb	vs Bandırmaspor	3–2	W
13 Feb	@ Erokspor	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

75%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?

On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manisa F.K. 17%.

How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?

Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?

Erzurumspor FK vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Erzurumspor FK v Manisa F.K.: numbers & prediction

Erzurumspor FK