Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 8.71
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the 1. Lig brings Erzurumspor FK against Hatayspor at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.
Current form
Erzurumspor FK, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ümraniyespor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.
Hatayspor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sivasspor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Erzurumspor FK, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Hatayspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzurumspor FK 2.3 xG, Hatayspor 0.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 48% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzurumspor FK 79%, draw 14%, Hatayspor 7%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Hatayspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzurumspor FK79%fair 1.26 · @1.05
Draw14%fair 7.21 · @13.00
Hatayspor7%fair 14.43 · @41.00
2.92Expected goals
2.34Erzurumspor FK xG
0.58Hatayspor xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 2.3 – 0.6 Hatayspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✓
79%
1.26
1.05
Double chance
Erzurumspor FK or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.40
Draw no bet
Erzurumspor FK (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Erzurumspor FK -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Erzurumspor FK to score first✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Erzurumspor FK ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✓
52%
1.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
11%
8.71
–
Recent results
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
LWWWWW
11 Mar
@ Ümraniyespor
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Manisa F.K.
8–1
W
4 Mar
vs Keçiörengücü
4–2
W
28 Feb
@ Van Spor Kulübü
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Serik Belediyespor
4–0
W
18 Feb
@ Keçiörengücü
2–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hatayspor – last 5
LLLLL
11 Mar
vs Sivasspor
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Bodrum FK
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Bandırmaspor
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Boluspor
1–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Hatayspor.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Hatayspor 7%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Hatayspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sivasspor1
Ümraniyespor0
Sakaryaspor2
Van Spor Kulübü1
Sarıyer3
Keçiörengücü1
Amed2
Manisa F.K.0