Sarıyer v Keçiörengücü Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSarıyer to win ✓38% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.61

Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Sarıyer v Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig, played at Yusuf Ziya Onis. In the table, Sarıyer are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Keçiörengücü are 6th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Sarıyer, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Manisa F.K., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Keçiörengücü, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sakaryaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Keçiörengücü, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Sarıyer.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarıyer 1.3 xG, Keçiörengücü 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sarıyer 38%, draw 26%, Keçiörengücü 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Keçiörengücü to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarıyer 1–1 Keçiörengücü. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarıyer38%fair 2.64 · @2.10

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30

Keçiörengücü36%fair 2.76 · @3.25

2.64Expected goals

1.28Sarıyer xG

1.37Keçiörengücü xG

58%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Sarıyer 1.3 – 1.4 Keçiörengücü expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sarıyer to win ✓	38%	2.64	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.67
Draw no bet	Sarıyer (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	Sarıyer +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Keçiörengücü to score first ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Keçiörengücü / FT Keçiörengücü ✗	23%	4.42	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.61	–

Sarıyer – last 6

LLDWDL

10 Mar	@ Manisa F.K.	0–3	L
6 Mar	vs Ümraniyespor	1–2	L
1 Mar	@ Sakaryaspor	0–0	D
23 Feb	vs Adana Demirspor	5–0	W
19 Feb	vs Amed	1–1	D
15 Feb	@ Pendikspor	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Keçiörengücü – last 5

DWLWL

11 Mar	vs Sakaryaspor	1–1	D
7 Mar	@ Sivasspor	1–0	W
4 Mar	@ Erzurumspor FK	2–4	L
23 Feb	@ Pendikspor	1–0	W
18 Feb	vs Erzurum BB	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?

On our numbers Sarıyer have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Keçiörengücü 36%.

How many goals will there be in Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?

Our predicted score is Sarıyer 1–1 Keçiörengücü, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü?

Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Onis.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sarıyer v Keçiörengücü: numbers & prediction