Sivasspor v Ümraniyespor Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSivasspor to win ✓46% · @1.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96

Sivasspor vs Ümraniyespor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ümraniyespor travel to face Sivasspor on Sunday 15 March in the 1. Lig, with BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Sivasspor are 18th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 14 matches; Ümraniyespor are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Sivasspor, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hatayspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Ümraniyespor, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Erzurumspor FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sivasspor 1.3 xG, Ümraniyespor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sivasspor 46%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 28%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sivasspor 1–1 Ümraniyespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sivasspor46%fair 2.16 · @1.70

Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.50

Ümraniyespor28%fair 3.62 · @4.60

2.50Expected goals

1.31Sivasspor xG

1.20Ümraniyespor xG

58%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

2–18%

0–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Sivasspor 1.3 – 1.2 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sivasspor to win ✓	46%	2.16	1.70
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.71	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Sivasspor (draw no bet) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Asian handicap	Ümraniyespor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Sivasspor to score first ✓	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sivasspor / FT Sivasspor ✓	23%	4.42	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.96	–

Sivasspor – last 5

WLWWD

11 Mar	@ Hatayspor	2–1	W
7 Mar	vs Keçiörengücü	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Serik Spor	1–0	W
23 Feb	vs Sakaryaspor	4–1	W
19 Feb	@ Adana Demirspor	1–1	D

1.6Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Ümraniyespor – last 6

WWLLWD

11 Mar	vs Erzurumspor FK	3–1	W
6 Mar	@ Sarıyer	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs Bandırmaspor	1–2	L
22 Feb	@ Yeni Çorumspor	0–2	L
17 Feb	vs Boluspor	4–2	W
13 Feb	@ 76 Iğdır Belediyespor	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Sivasspor vs Ümraniyespor?

On our numbers Sivasspor have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ümraniyespor 28%.

How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Ümraniyespor?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Our predicted score is Sivasspor 1–1 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sivasspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Sivasspor vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sivasspor v Ümraniyespor: numbers & prediction