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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rochdale v Brackley Town: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale

DWD
3–2
FT

Brackley Town

LL
Rochdale 64%Draw 20%Brackley Town 15% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.94
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRochdale to win ✓64% · @1.25
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Rochdale vs Brackley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Brackley Town travel to face Rochdale on Tuesday 3 March in the National League, with Crown Oil Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Rochdale, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Halifax Town, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 1.9 xG, Brackley Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 64%, draw 20%, Brackley Town 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.35.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 2–0 Brackley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rochdale64%fair 1.55 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
Brackley Town15%fair 6.61 · @12.00
2.87Expected goals
1.93Rochdale xG
0.94Brackley Town xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Rochdale 1.9 – 0.9 Brackley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RochdaleBrackley Town
Attack vs National League average+5%-12%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+15%
Our expected goals here2.121.27

Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRochdale to win ✓64%1.551.25
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✓85%1.181.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.35 ▲
Draw no betRochdale (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapRochdale -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreRochdale to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultRochdale ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rochdale / FT Rochdale ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Rochdale – last 3

DWD
24 Feb@ FC Halifax Town2–2D
21 Febvs Woking3–0W
17 Febvs Scunthorpe1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Brackley Town – last 2

LL
24 Feb@ Wealdstone1–2L
21 Febvs Southend0–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Brackley Town.

Rochdale vs Brackley Town head-to-head page →

More National League predictions

League hub
FT Boreham Wood3 York2 145%2.75X21%3.60234%2.20 2.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✓
FT Southend1 Truro City1 165%1.28X20%4.60215%9.40 2.1–1.0xG 1Southend to win 65%@1.28 ✗
FT Wealdstone2 Morecambe3 149%1.85X24%3.50227%3.55 1.9–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Yeovil Town2 Tamworth0 147%2.45X23%3.25231%2.60 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Hartlepool0 Sutton Utd2 145%1.91X25%3.40230%3.45 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Boston United2 Woking2 145%1.95X26%3.30229%3.50 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Brackley Town?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Rochdale vs Brackley Town?

On our numbers Rochdale have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brackley Town 15%.

How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Brackley Town?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Brackley Town?

Our predicted score is Rochdale 2–0 Brackley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Rochdale vs Brackley Town?

Rochdale vs Brackley Town (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Crown Oil Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.