Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hartlepool welcome Sutton Utd to The Prestige Group Stadium for a National League fixture on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Hartlepool are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Sutton Utd are 11th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Sutton Utd, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Yeovil Town, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.5 xG, Sutton Utd 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 45%, draw 25%, Sutton Utd 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–1 Sutton Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartlepool45%fair 2.20 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.40
Sutton Utd30%fair 3.35 · @3.45
2.73Expected goals
1.45Hartlepool xG
1.28Sutton Utd xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.5 – 1.3 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
Attack vs National League average
-14%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.39
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
45%
2.20
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Hartlepool (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Sutton Utd +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Hartlepool to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Hartlepool – last 1
W
25 Feb
vs Carlisle
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 3
LWW
25 Feb
@ Yeovil Town
2–3
L
21 Feb
vs Wealdstone
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Woking
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Sutton Utd.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sutton Utd 30%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Prestige Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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