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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Southend v Truro City: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Roots Hall

Truro City

Southend 65%Draw 20%Truro City 15% Expected goals 2.11 – 1.04

65%

Betarazi pick

Southend to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.28Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSouthend to win ✗65% · @1.28

Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓85% · @1.01

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Southend vs Truro City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Truro City travel to face Southend on Tuesday 3 March in the National League, with Roots Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Southend 2.1 xG, Truro City 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Southend 65%, draw 20%, Truro City 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Southend to win (65%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southend 2–1 Truro City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Southend65%fair 1.55 · @1.28

Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.60

Truro City15%fair 6.47 · @9.40

3.15Expected goals

2.11Southend xG

1.04Truro City xG

57%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–010%

1–19%

1–09%

3–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Southend 2.1 – 1.0 Truro City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Southend	Truro City
Attack vs National League average	+37%	-14%
Goals conceded vs average	+7%	-5%
Our expected goals here	2.27	1.30

Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Southend to win ✗	65%	1.55	1.28
Double chance	Southend or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.01
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.77	1.90 ▲
Draw no bet	Southend (draw no bet)	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Southend -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	60%	1.68	1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
First team to score	Southend to score first ✗	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Southend ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Southend / FT Southend ✗	40%	2.52	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.08	–

Recent results

Southend – last 2

24 Feb	vs Boreham Wood	0–2	L
21 Feb	@ Brackley Town	3–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Truro City – last 2

25 Feb	@ Eastleigh	1–2	L
17 Feb	@ Boreham Wood	0–2	L

0.5Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Southend and Truro City.

Southend vs Truro City head-to-head page →

National League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	16	14	2	0	+27	44
2	Harrogate Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Southend	16	8	5	3	+11	29
4	AFC Fylde	16	9	2	5	+6	29
5	Yeovil Town	16	8	4	4	+15	28
6	Worthing	16	8	4	4	+7	28
7	Altrincham	16	9	1	6	0	28
8	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Barrow	15	7	4	4	+7	25
10	FC Halifax Town	16	7	3	6	+8	24
11	Sutton Utd	16	7	3	6	-1	24
12	Woking	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Kidderminster Harriers	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Aldershot Town	16	6	3	7	0	21
15	AFC Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	-8	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	-1	19
17	Eastleigh	16	5	4	7	-6	19
18	Wealdstone	16	5	3	8	-6	18
19	Boston United	16	5	3	8	-8	18
20	Tamworth	15	5	2	8	-7	17
21	Hartlepool	16	5	0	11	-9	15
22	Solihull Moors	16	4	1	11	-21	13
23	Scunthorpe	15	3	1	11	-11	10
24	Gateshead	15	1	1	13	-25	4

More National League predictions

League hub

Boreham Wood3

York2 145%2.75X21%3.60234%2.20 2.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✓

Rochdale3

Brackley Town2 164%1.25X20%4.50215%12.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Wealdstone2

Morecambe3 149%1.85X24%3.50227%3.55 1.9–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓

Yeovil Town2

Tamworth0 147%2.45X23%3.25231%2.60 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓

Hartlepool0

Sutton Utd2 145%1.91X25%3.40230%3.45 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Boston United2

Woking2 145%1.95X26%3.30229%3.50 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Southend vs Truro City?

Our pick is Southend to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Southend vs Truro City?

On our numbers Southend have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Truro City 15%.

How many goals will there be in Southend vs Truro City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Southend vs Truro City?

Our predicted score is Southend 2–1 Truro City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Southend vs Truro City?

Southend vs Truro City (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.