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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartlepool v Rochdale: numbers & prediction

National League · England · The Prestige Group Stadium

Hartlepool

DLWLW
0–0
FT

Rochdale

LDLWD
Hartlepool 25%Draw 25%Rochdale 50% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.63
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRochdale to win ✗50% · @1.83
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Hartlepool vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rochdale travel to face Hartlepool on Monday 6 April in the National League, with The Prestige Group Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Hartlepool, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Scunthorpe, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.

Rochdale, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Morecambe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.2 xG, Rochdale 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 25%, draw 25%, Rochdale 50%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rochdale or draw (75%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–1 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartlepool25%fair 4.07 · @3.95
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.35
Rochdale50%fair 1.99 · @1.83
2.87Expected goals
1.24Hartlepool xG
1.63Rochdale xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.2 – 1.6 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

HartlepoolRochdale
Attack vs National League average-14%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+10%+1%
Our expected goals here1.521.65

Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRochdale to win ✗50%1.991.83
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✓75%1.331.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.67
Draw no betRochdale (draw no bet)67%1.49–
Asian handicapHartlepool +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreRochdale to score first ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rochdale / FT Rochdale ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

Hartlepool – last 5

DLWLW
3 Apr@ Scunthorpe0–0D
31 Mar@ Wealdstone0–7L
25 Mar@ Morecambe3–2W
3 Marvs Sutton Utd0–2L
25 Febvs Carlisle3–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Rochdale – last 6

LDLWDW
3 Aprvs Morecambe2–4L
25 Mar@ Scunthorpe2–2D
17 Mar@ Southend2–3L
3 Marvs Brackley Town3–2W
24 Feb@ FC Halifax Town2–2D
21 Febvs Woking3–0W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Rochdale.

Hartlepool vs Rochdale head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub
FT Brackley Town1 Boston United1 137%2.90X24%3.30239%2.20 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Braintree0 Woking0 129%3.55X25%3.35246%1.95 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗
FT Eastleigh2 Yeovil Town1 134%2.30X25%3.20241%2.85 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT FC Halifax Town2 Tamworth2 150%2.00X23%3.35226%3.35 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Gateshead2 Scunthorpe0 131%3.00X24%3.75245%2.00 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.36 ✗
FT Morecambe2 Carlisle2 129%3.65X20%3.80251%1.77 1.6–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Solihull Moors4 Boreham Wood1 119%3.60X19%3.65262%1.83 1.2–2.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.45 ✓
FT Sutton Utd0 Southend3 126%4.00X24%3.70250%1.73 1.4–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Rochdale?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hartlepool vs Rochdale?

On our numbers Hartlepool have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rochdale 50%.

How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Rochdale?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Rochdale?

Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Hartlepool vs Rochdale?

Hartlepool vs Rochdale (National League) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Prestige Group Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.