Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthend to win ✓50% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Sutton Utd vs Southend: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sutton Utd welcome Southend to VBS Community Stadium for a National League fixture on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Sutton Utd are 11th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Southend are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Sutton Utd, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Aldershot Town, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Southend, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Braintree, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sutton Utd 1.4 xG, Southend 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sutton Utd 26%, draw 24%, Southend 50%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutton Utd 1–1 Southend. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sutton Utd26%fair 3.84 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.70
Southend50%fair 2.00 · @1.73
3.11Expected goals
1.38Sutton Utd xG
1.73Southend xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 1.4 – 1.7 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sutton Utd
Southend
Attack vs National League average
-11%
+37%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.71
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
50%
2.00
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Sutton Utd +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Southend to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Sutton Utd – last 6
DWWWLW
3 Apr
@ Aldershot Town
2–2
D
24 Mar
@ Eastleigh
2–0
W
10 Mar
@ Scunthorpe
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Hartlepool
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Yeovil Town
2–3
L
21 Feb
vs Wealdstone
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
WWDWDD
3 Apr
vs Braintree
3–2
W
31 Mar
vs Yeovil Town
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Woking
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Gateshead
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Truro City
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sutton Utd and Southend.
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Southend?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Southend?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Southend 50%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Southend?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 1–1 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sutton Utd vs Southend?
Sutton Utd vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brackley Town1
Braintree0
Rochdale0
Morecambe2