Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAkhmat to win ✓40% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Akhmat vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the Premier League brings Akhmat against FC Rostov at Akhmat-Arena. Kick-off: 11:45 WAT. In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; FC Rostov are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Akhmat, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akron, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FC Rostov, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Makhachkala, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Akhmat, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for FC Rostov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 1.2 xG, FC Rostov 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 40%, draw 27%, FC Rostov 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: FC Rostov to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Akhmat40%fair 2.52 · @2.36
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.25
FC Rostov34%fair 2.98 · @3.30
2.43Expected goals
1.23Akhmat xG
1.21FC Rostov xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.2 – 1.2 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✓
40%
2.52
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.87
Draw no bet
Akhmat (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
FC Rostov +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Akhmat to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✓
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Akhmat – last 4
DDWD
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Rostov – last 4
LLLL
4 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Spartak Moscow
2–5
L
18 Feb
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and FC Rostov.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FC Rostov 34%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Akhmat vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi