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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Baltika v FC Sochi: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Rostec Arena

Baltika

LLWDW
Sat 21 Mar 2026
Baltika 58%Draw 24%FC Sochi 18% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.89
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBaltika to win58% · @1.43
Double chanceBaltika or draw82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.34

Baltika vs FC Sochi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 21 March the Premier League brings Baltika against FC Sochi at Rostec Arena. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Baltika, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zenit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

FC Sochi, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Krasnodar, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.5 xG, FC Sochi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 58%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.46.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–0 FC Sochi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Baltika58%fair 1.71 · @1.43
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @4.55
FC Sochi18%fair 5.66 · @8.70
2.41Expected goals
1.52Baltika xG
0.89FC Sochi xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Baltika 1.5 – 0.9 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBaltika to win58%1.711.43
Double chanceBaltika or draw82%1.211.09
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.981.46
Draw no betBaltika (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapFC Sochi +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.781.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.03
First team to scoreBaltika to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Baltika / FT Baltika31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014%7.34–

Recent results

Baltika – last 5

LLWDW
3 Marvs Zenit0–1L
27 Feb@ Zenit0–1L
22 Feb@ Krylia Sovetov1–0W
18 Febvs Akhmat2–2D
18 Febvs Kaisar2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

FC Sochi – last 4

LLWW
14 Marvs FC Krasnodar1–2L
2 Marvs Spartak Moscow2–3L
21 Febvs Bars3–2W
21 Febvs Aktobe3–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Baltika and FC Sochi.

Baltika vs FC Sochi head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs FC Sochi?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Baltika vs FC Sochi?

On our numbers Baltika have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Sochi 18%.

How many goals will there be in Baltika vs FC Sochi?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs FC Sochi?

Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Baltika vs FC Sochi?

Baltika vs FC Sochi (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.