Baltika 58%Draw 24%FC Sochi 18%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.89
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBaltika to win58% · @1.43
Double chanceBaltika or draw82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.34
Baltika vs FC Sochi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the Premier League brings Baltika against FC Sochi at Rostec Arena. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zenit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
FC Sochi, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Krasnodar, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.5 xG, FC Sochi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 58%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 18%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.46.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–0 FC Sochi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika58%fair 1.71 · @1.43
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @4.55
FC Sochi18%fair 5.66 · @8.70
2.41Expected goals
1.52Baltika xG
0.89FC Sochi xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.5 – 0.9 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win
58%
1.71
1.43
Double chance
Baltika or draw
82%
1.21
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.98
1.46
Draw no bet
Baltika (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
FC Sochi +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.03
First team to score
Baltika to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.34
–
Recent results
Baltika – last 5
LLWDW
3 Mar
vs Zenit
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Zenit
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Akhmat
2–2
D
18 Feb
vs Kaisar
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FC Sochi – last 4
LLWW
14 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
2 Mar
vs Spartak Moscow
2–3
L
21 Feb
vs Bars
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Aktobe
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and FC Sochi.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Baltika vs FC Sochi?
On our numbers Baltika have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Sochi 18%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs FC Sochi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs FC Sochi?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs FC Sochi?
Baltika vs FC Sochi (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.