FC Krasnodar 55%Draw 19%Nizhny Novgorod 27%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.50
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.14 – our chance 57% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFC Krasnodar to win55% · @1.30
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.14
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.60
FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Saturday 21 March: FC Krasnodar v Nizhny Novgorod in the Premier League, played at Ozon Arena.
Current form
FC Krasnodar, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over CSKA Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 1.6 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 55%, draw 19%, Nizhny Novgorod 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.14.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.14 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Krasnodar55%fair 1.82 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.80
Nizhny Novgorod27%fair 3.76 · @11.00
3.08Expected goals
1.58FC Krasnodar xG
1.50Nizhny Novgorod xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.6 – 1.5 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win
55%
1.82
1.30
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
2.14 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.12
First team to score
FC Krasnodar to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
FC Krasnodar – last 6
WWLLWL
17 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ FC Sochi
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Rubin
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs FC Rostov
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Zenit
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 1
W
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nizhny Novgorod 27%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod?
FC Krasnodar vs Nizhny Novgorod (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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