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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Akron v FC Rostov: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Samara Arena

Akron

WDLLL
1–3
FT
Akron 33%Draw 25%FC Rostov 41% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.48
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Rostov to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10

Akron vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 11 May the Premier League brings Akron against FC Rostov at Samara Arena. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Akron are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; FC Rostov are 6th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Akron, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Baltika, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

FC Rostov, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Akron 1.2 xG, FC Rostov 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Akron 33%, draw 25%, FC Rostov 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: FC Rostov to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akron 1–1 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Akron33%fair 3.01 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.28
FC Rostov41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
2.69Expected goals
1.21Akron xG
1.48FC Rostov xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Akron 1.2 – 1.5 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Rostov to win ✓41%2.422.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.38
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.80 ▲
Draw no betFC Rostov (draw no bet) ✓55%1.80–
Asian handicapAkron +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.05
First team to scoreFC Rostov to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Rostov / FT FC Rostov ✓26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.10–

Recent results

Akron – last 6

WDLLLD
27 Apr@ Baltika1–0W
23 Aprvs Dinamo Makhachkala1–1D
13 Aprvs Dynamo2–3L
4 Aprvs CSKA Moscow1–2L
22 Mar@ Lokomotiv1–5L
15 Marvs Akhmat1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Rostov – last 6

WDLWLL
2 May@ Dinamo Makhachkala2–1W
21 Apr@ CSKA Moscow1–1D
17 Aprvs FC Sochi0–1L
5 Apr@ Nizhny Novgorod1–0W
21 Mar@ Akhmat0–1L
4 Marvs Dinamo Makhachkala0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Akron and FC Rostov.

Akron vs FC Rostov head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Akron vs FC Rostov?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Akron vs FC Rostov?

On our numbers Akron have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Rostov 41%.

How many goals will there be in Akron vs FC Rostov?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Akron vs FC Rostov?

Our predicted score is Akron 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Akron vs FC Rostov?

Akron vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.