Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 3.36 – our chance 44% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +48%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✗44% · @3.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSKA Moscow travel to face Nizhny Novgorod on Monday 11 May in the Premier League, with Sovcombank Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:15 WAT.
Current form
Nizhny Novgorod, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spartak Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
CSKA Moscow, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 1.8 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 44%, draw 22%, CSKA Moscow 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @3.36 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nizhny Novgorod44%fair 2.28 · @3.36
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.54
CSKA Moscow34%fair 2.91 · @2.20
3.00Expected goals
1.82Nizhny Novgorod xG
1.18CSKA Moscow xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 1.8 – 1.2 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✗
44%
2.28
3.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.71
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Moscow +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.07
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Nizhny Novgorod – last 4
LLLW
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
CSKA Moscow – last 6
LDLWWL
6 May
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs FC Rostov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Krylia Sovetov
5–2
W
4 Apr
@ Akron
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ FC Krasnodar
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and CSKA Moscow.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSKA Moscow 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
