Spartak Moscow vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Monday 11 May: Spartak Moscow v Rubin in the Premier League, played at Lukoil Arena. In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CSKA Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rubin, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 1.9 xG, Rubin 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 65%, draw 23%, Rubin 12%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.03.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 1–0 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow65%fair 1.55 · @1.56
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.25
Rubin12%fair 8.01 · @6.35
2.56Expected goals
1.86Spartak Moscow xG
0.70Rubin xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 0.7 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
65%
1.55
1.56
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.03
Draw no bet
Spartak Moscow (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.05
First team to score
Spartak Moscow to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WLWLWW
6 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
1 May
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akhmat
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rubin – last 6
WWDWWL
22 Apr
@ Dynamo
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Rubin.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rubin 12%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–0 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod1