AFC Telford United 48%Draw 23%Chorley 29%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.42
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Telford United to win ✗48% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
AFC Telford United vs Chorley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chorley travel to face AFC Telford United on Tuesday 17 February in the National League North, with New Bucks Head the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, AFC Telford United are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Chorley are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Telford United 1.7 xG, Chorley 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Telford United 48%, draw 23%, Chorley 29%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Telford United 1–1 Chorley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Telford United48%fair 2.09 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.70
Chorley29%fair 3.42 · @3.55
3.07Expected goals
1.65AFC Telford United xG
1.42Chorley xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Telford United 1.7 – 1.4 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Telford United to win✗
48%
2.09
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Draw no bet
AFC Telford United (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Chorley +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
AFC Telford United to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Telford United / FT AFC Telford United✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
AFC Telford United
No recent results on record.
Chorley
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Telford United and Chorley.
What is the prediction for AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
On our numbers AFC Telford United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chorley 29%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is AFC Telford United 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Telford United vs Chorley?
AFC Telford United vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at New Bucks Head.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leamington0