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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hereford v Darlington 1883: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Edgar Street
Hereford 42%Draw 24%Darlington 1883 34% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.27
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Hereford to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHereford to win ✓42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47

Hereford vs Darlington 1883: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Darlington 1883 travel to face Hereford on Tuesday 17 February in the National League North, with Edgar Street the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Hereford are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Darlington 1883 are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hereford 1.8 xG, Darlington 1883 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hereford 42%, draw 24%, Darlington 1883 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Hereford to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hereford 1–1 Darlington 1883. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hereford42%fair 2.36 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.30
Darlington 188334%fair 2.95 · @2.38
3.07Expected goals
1.80Hereford xG
1.27Darlington 1883 xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Hereford 1.8 – 1.3 Darlington 1883 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHereford to win ✓42%2.362.65 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.48
Draw no betHereford (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapDarlington 1883 +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
First team to scoreHereford to score first ✓56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hereford / FT Hereford ✗31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.47–

Recent results

Hereford

No recent results on record.

Darlington 1883

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hereford and Darlington 1883.

Hereford vs Darlington 1883 head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hereford vs Darlington 1883?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Hereford vs Darlington 1883?

On our numbers Hereford have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Darlington 1883 34%.

How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Darlington 1883?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Darlington 1883?

Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Darlington 1883, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Hereford vs Darlington 1883?

Hereford vs Darlington 1883 (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.