Hereford v Oxford City Prediction & Expected Goals (14 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOxford City to win ✓37% · @2.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.42

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.63

Hereford vs Oxford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: Hereford v Oxford City in the National League North, played at Edgar Street. In the table, Hereford are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Oxford City are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hereford, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marine, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Oxford City, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Peterborough Sports, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hereford 1.4 xG, Oxford City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hereford 37%, draw 26%, Oxford City 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hereford 1–1 Oxford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hereford37%fair 2.70 · @2.30

Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.35

Oxford City37%fair 2.67 · @2.75

2.85Expected goals

1.38Hereford xG

1.46Oxford City xG

62%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–08%

0–26%

From our goals model: Hereford 1.4 – 1.5 Oxford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Oxford City to win ✓	37%	2.67	2.75
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.34	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.42
Draw no bet	Oxford City (draw no bet) ✓	50%	1.99	–
Asian handicap	Hereford +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.26	1.25
First team to score	Oxford City to score first ✗	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Oxford City / FT Oxford City ✗	23%	4.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	9%	11.63	–

Hereford – last 6

WWLLLL

8 Apr	@ Marine	1–0	W
6 Apr	vs Merthyr Town	3–0	W
3 Apr	@ Kidderminster Harriers	1–2	L
31 Mar	vs Macclesfield	0–2	L
24 Mar	vs Spennymoor Town	1–2	L
19 Mar	@ Alfreton Town	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Oxford City – last 5

WDDDL

6 Apr	vs Peterborough Sports	2–0	W
3 Apr	@ Merthyr Town	1–1	D
10 Mar	@ Curzon Ashton	2–2	D
24 Feb	vs AFC Telford United	0–0	D
21 Feb	vs Marine	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hereford vs Oxford City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Hereford vs Oxford City?

On our numbers Hereford have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oxford City 37%.

How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Oxford City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Oxford City?

Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Oxford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hereford vs Oxford City?

Hereford vs Oxford City (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hereford v Oxford City: numbers & prediction