Alfreton Town vs Buxton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alfreton Town welcome Buxton to The Impact Arena for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 14 April (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Alfreton Town, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leamington, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Buxton, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Worksop Town, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alfreton Town 1.1 xG, Buxton 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alfreton Town 22%, draw 24%, Buxton 54%.
Lower-risk option: Buxton or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfreton Town 1–1 Buxton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alfreton Town22%fair 4.49 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.65
Buxton54%fair 1.85 · @1.73
2.89Expected goals
1.13Alfreton Town xG
1.76Buxton xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.1 – 1.8 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buxton to win✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Double chance
Buxton or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Draw no bet
Buxton (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Alfreton Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Buxton to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buxton / FT Buxton✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Alfreton Town – last 6
WDWLWL
6 Apr
@ Leamington
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Worksop Town
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Chorley
1–0
W
24 Mar
vs Macclesfield
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Hereford
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Southport
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Buxton – last 6
WLWWLL
6 Apr
@ Worksop Town
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Macclesfield
2–4
L
17 Mar
@ Leamington
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Darlington 1883
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs King's Lynn Town
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs AFC Fylde
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Buxton.
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Buxton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Buxton?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Buxton 54%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Buxton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Alfreton Town vs Buxton?
Alfreton Town vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Impact Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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