Southport vs Spennymoor Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Southport v Spennymoor Town in the National League North, played at Haig Avenue. In the table, Southport are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Spennymoor Town are 24th (in the drop zone) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Southport, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Radcliffe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Spennymoor Town, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chorley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southport 1.5 xG, Spennymoor Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southport 46%, draw 25%, Spennymoor Town 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southport 1–1 Spennymoor Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southport46%fair 2.17 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Spennymoor Town29%fair 3.50 · @3.45
2.74Expected goals
1.48Southport xG
1.26Spennymoor Town xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Southport 1.5 – 1.3 Spennymoor Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southport to win✓
46%
2.17
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Southport (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Spennymoor Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Southport to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southport / FT Southport✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Southport – last 3
WDD
24 Feb
@ Radcliffe
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Buxton
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spennymoor Town – last 3
WLW
24 Feb
vs Chorley
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Darlington 1883
0–4
L
17 Feb
@ Leamington
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southport and Spennymoor Town.
What is the prediction for Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
On our numbers Southport have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spennymoor Town 29%.
How many goals will there be in Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
Our predicted score is Southport 1–1 Spennymoor Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Southport vs Spennymoor Town?
Southport vs Spennymoor Town (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Haig Avenue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.