Double chancePersepam Madura Utd or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Liga 1 brings Persepam Madura Utd against PSM Makassar at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Persepam Madura Utd are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; PSM Makassar are 12th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Persepam Madura Utd, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to PSIM Yogyakarta, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
PSM Makassar, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Persib Bandung, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persepam Madura Utd 1.8 xG, PSM Makassar 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persepam Madura Utd 61%, draw 22%, PSM Makassar 17%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 PSM Makassar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persepam Madura Utd61%fair 1.65 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.00
PSM Makassar17%fair 5.72 · @6.00
2.79Expected goals
1.84Persepam Madura Utd xG
0.95PSM Makassar xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Persepam Madura Utd 1.8 – 1.0 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persepam Madura Utd to win✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Double chance
Persepam Madura Utd or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Persepam Madura Utd (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
PSM Makassar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Persepam Madura Utd to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Persepam Madura Utd ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persepam Madura Utd / FT Persepam Madura Utd✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Persepam Madura Utd – last 6
LLWWLW
17 May
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
1–2
L
11 May
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–3
L
5 May
vs Bali United
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Semen Padang
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
LLLWWD
17 May
vs Persib Bandung
1–2
L
9 May
@ Arema FC
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Bali United
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Persis Solo
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persepam Madura Utd and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers Persepam Madura Utd have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and PSM Makassar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar?
Persepam Madura Utd vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Semen Padang0
Persis Solo3