Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 52% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPersija to win ✓79% · @1.01
Double chancePersija or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Persija vs Semen Padang: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persija welcome Semen Padang to Jakarta International Stadium for a Liga 1 fixture on Saturday 23 May (10:00 WAT).
Current form
Persija, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Persik Kediri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Semen Padang, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Persebaya Surabaya, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Persija, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Semen Padang.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persija 2.5 xG, Semen Padang 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persija 79%, draw 14%, Semen Padang 7%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persija 3–0 Semen Padang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persija79%fair 1.27 · @1.01
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @10.60
Semen Padang7%fair 13.63 · @67.00
3.13Expected goals
2.46Persija xG
0.66Semen Padang xG
52%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Persija 2.5 – 0.7 Semen Padang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persija to win✓
79%
1.27
1.01
Double chance
Persija or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.45 ▲
Draw no bet
Persija (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Persija -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
2.15 ▲
First team to score
Persija to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Persija ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persija / FT Persija✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Persija – last 6
WLDLDD
16 May
@ Persik Kediri
3–1
W
10 May
vs Persib Bandung
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Dewa United
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Semen Padang – last 6
LLLLLL
15 May
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–7
L
8 May
vs Persik Kediri
0–3
L
3 May
@ Dewa United
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs Persijap
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
0.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persija and Semen Padang.
What is the prediction for Persija vs Semen Padang?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Persija vs Semen Padang?
On our numbers Persija have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Semen Padang 7%.
How many goals will there be in Persija vs Semen Padang?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persija vs Semen Padang?
Our predicted score is Persija 3–0 Semen Padang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Persija vs Semen Padang?
Persija vs Semen Padang (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Jakarta International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Persis Solo3