Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✓59% · @1.68
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persebaya Surabaya welcome Persik Kediri to Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium for a Liga 1 fixture on Saturday 23 May (10:00 WAT). In the table, Persebaya Surabaya are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Persik Kediri are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Persebaya Surabaya, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Semen Padang, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Persik Kediri, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Persija, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Persebaya Surabaya, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Persik Kediri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persebaya Surabaya 1.8 xG, Persik Kediri 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persebaya Surabaya 59%, draw 24%, Persik Kediri 17%.
Lower-risk option: Persebaya Surabaya or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Persik Kediri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persebaya Surabaya59%fair 1.71 · @1.68
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.80
Persik Kediri17%fair 5.76 · @4.20
2.68Expected goals
1.85Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.83Persik Kediri xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.8 – 0.8 Persik Kediri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✓
59%
1.71
1.68
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.57
Draw no bet
Persebaya Surabaya (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Persebaya Surabaya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Persebaya Surabaya to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Persebaya Surabaya ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WDWWWL
15 May
@ Semen Padang
7–0
W
9 May
@ Persis Solo
0–0
D
2 May
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ Arema FC
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ Malut United
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persik Kediri – last 6
LWWLLW
16 May
vs Persija
1–3
L
8 May
@ Semen Padang
3–0
W
3 May
vs Arema FC
3–2
W
29 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ PSM Makassar
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and Persik Kediri.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Persik Kediri 17%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Persik Kediri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Semen Padang0
Persis Solo3