Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 11.40
Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the III Liga Group 2 brings Lipno Stęszew against Noteć Czarnków at Boisko Lipno Stęszew. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Lipno Stęszew are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Noteć Czarnków are 9th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Lipno Stęszew, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Polonia Środa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Noteć Czarnków, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lech Poznań II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Noteć Czarnków, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Lipno Stęszew.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lipno Stęszew 1.4 xG, Noteć Czarnków 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lipno Stęszew 38%, draw 25%, Noteć Czarnków 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lipno Stęszew 1–2 Noteć Czarnków. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lipno Stęszew38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.50
Noteć Czarnków37%fair 2.71 · @2.62
2.75Expected goals
1.37Lipno Stęszew xG
1.38Noteć Czarnków xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 1.4 – 1.4 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lipno Stęszew to win✓
38%
2.61
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Lipno Stęszew (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Lipno Stęszew +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Noteć Czarnków to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Noteć Czarnków / FT Noteć Czarnków✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Lipno Stęszew – last 4
DLLL
4 Apr
vs Polonia Środa
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Tłuchowia
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Stargard Szczeciński
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Wda Świecie
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Noteć Czarnków – last 4
WDWL
15 Apr
vs Lech Poznań II
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Flota Świnoujście
4–2
W
27 Feb
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lipno Stęszew and Noteć Czarnków.
What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Noteć Czarnków 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our predicted score is Lipno Stęszew 1–2 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tłuchowia3
Pogoń Szczecin II3
Cartusia Kartuzy1
Zawisza Bydgoszcz0