Victoria Września v Elana Toruń Prediction & Expected Goals (1 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVictoria Września to win ✓49% · @1.83

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09

Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 1 May the III Liga Group 2 brings Victoria Września against Elana Toruń at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Victoria Września are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Elana Toruń are 11th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Victoria Września, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tłuchowia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Elana Toruń, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luzino, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Września 1.5 xG, Elana Toruń 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Września 49%, draw 24%, Elana Toruń 27%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Września 1–1 Elana Toruń. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Victoria Września49%fair 2.03 · @1.83

Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.70

Elana Toruń27%fair 3.70 · @3.40

2.59Expected goals

1.47Victoria Września xG

1.12Elana Toruń xG

48%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Victoria Września 1.5 – 1.1 Elana Toruń expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Victoria Września to win ✓	49%	2.03	1.83
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	–
Draw no bet	Victoria Września (draw no bet) ✓	65%	1.55	–
Asian handicap	Elana Toruń +1 (Asian handicap)	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.98	1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Victoria Września to score first ✓	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Victoria Września / FT Victoria Września ✓	27%	3.75	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	9.09	–

Victoria Września – last 6

WWDWLL

19 Apr	vs Tłuchowia	2–0	W
12 Apr	@ Pogoń Szczecin II	2–1	W
4 Apr	vs Noteć Czarnków	0–0	D
1 Apr	@ Cartusia Kartuzy	3–0	W
7 Mar	vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0–2	L
27 Feb	@ Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Elana Toruń – last 6

LLWWLW

19 Apr	@ Luzino	1–2	L
3 Apr	vs Wda Świecie	0–1	L
23 Mar	vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	5–1	W
17 Mar	vs Stargard Szczeciński	1–0	W
8 Mar	vs Polonia Środa	0–3	L
13 Feb	@ Warta Poznań	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

On our numbers Victoria Września have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Elana Toruń 27%.

How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

Our predicted score is Victoria Września 1–1 Elana Toruń, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Victoria Września v Elana Toruń: numbers & prediction