Pogoń Szczecin II v Elana Toruń Prediction & Expected Goals (13 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPogoń Szczecin II to win ✓60% · @1.85

Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.57

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Pogoń Szczecin II v Elana Toruń in the III Liga Group 2, played at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.

Current form

Pogoń Szczecin II, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kluczevia Stargard, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Elana Toruń, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Victoria Września, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Szczecin II 2.3 xG, Elana Toruń 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Szczecin II 60%, draw 19%, Elana Toruń 21%.
Price worth noting: Pogoń Szczecin II to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Elana Toruń. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogoń Szczecin II60%fair 1.67 · @1.85

Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.80

Elana Toruń21%fair 4.75 · @3.25

3.46Expected goals

2.30Pogoń Szczecin II xG

1.16Elana Toruń xG

53%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–18%

2–08%

3–17%

1–07%

3–06%

From our goals model: Pogoń Szczecin II 2.3 – 1.2 Elana Toruń expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pogoń Szczecin II to win ✓	60%	1.67	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	81%	1.24	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	Pogoń Szczecin II (draw no bet) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Asian handicap	Pogoń Szczecin II -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
First team to score	Pogoń Szczecin II to score first ✓	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Pogoń Szczecin II ahead at half-time ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pogoń Szczecin II / FT Pogoń Szczecin II ✓	41%	2.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.37	–

Pogoń Szczecin II – last 6

WDDLLL

9 May	vs Kluczevia Stargard	2–1	W
1 May	@ Tłuchowia	3–3	D
25 Apr	vs Lech Poznań II	2–2	D
15 Apr	vs Luzino	1–2	L
12 Apr	vs Victoria Września	1–2	L
3 Apr	@ Unia Swarzędz	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Elana Toruń – last 6

LLLWWL

1 May	@ Victoria Września	2–3	L
19 Apr	@ Luzino	1–2	L
3 Apr	vs Wda Świecie	0–1	L
23 Mar	vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	5–1	W
17 Mar	vs Stargard Szczeciński	1–0	W
8 Mar	vs Polonia Środa	0–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń?

On our numbers Pogoń Szczecin II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Elana Toruń 21%.

How many goals will there be in Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń?

Our predicted score is Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Elana Toruń, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń?

Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pogoń Szczecin II v Elana Toruń: numbers & prediction