Tłuchowia 27%Draw 18%Lech Poznań II 55%Expected goals 1.60 – 2.12
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznań II to win ✗55% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tłuchowia welcome Lech Poznań II to Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Wednesday 13 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Tłuchowia, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Polonia Środa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lech Poznań II, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cartusia Kartuzy, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lech Poznań II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Tłuchowia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tłuchowia 1.6 xG, Lech Poznań II 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tłuchowia 27%, draw 18%, Lech Poznań II 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tłuchowia 1–2 Lech Poznań II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tłuchowia27%fair 3.71 · @4.10
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.10
Lech Poznań II55%fair 1.83 · @1.57
3.72Expected goals
1.60Tłuchowia xG
2.12Lech Poznań II xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Tłuchowia 1.6 – 2.1 Lech Poznań II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznań II to win✗
55%
1.83
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Lech Poznań II (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Tłuchowia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
First team to score
Lech Poznań II to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznań II ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznań II / FT Lech Poznań II✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Tłuchowia – last 6
LDLLWL
8 May
@ Polonia Środa
1–3
L
1 May
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Lipno Stęszew
3–1
W
28 Feb
@ Flota Świnoujście
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lech Poznań II – last 6
DWDWLW
9 May
@ Cartusia Kartuzy
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
6–2
W
25 Apr
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Flota Świnoujście
3–1
W
15 Apr
@ Noteć Czarnków
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Wda Świecie
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tłuchowia and Lech Poznań II.
What is the prediction for Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
On our numbers Tłuchowia have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lech Poznań II 55%.
How many goals will there be in Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
Our predicted score is Tłuchowia 1–2 Lech Poznań II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pogoń Szczecin II4
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce0
Zawisza Bydgoszcz1