Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 31.28
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce v Stargard Szczeciński in the III Liga Group 2, played at Stadion Miejsko-Gminny w Nowych Skalmierzycach.
Current form
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Luzino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Stargard Szczeciński, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1.4 xG, Stargard Szczeciński 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 36%, draw 24%, Stargard Szczeciński 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce36%fair 2.77 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
Stargard Szczeciński40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
2.86Expected goals
1.37Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce xG
1.50Stargard Szczeciński xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1.4 – 1.5 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✗
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Stargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Stargard Szczeciński to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
31.28
–
Recent results
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce – last 5
LDLLL
30 Apr
@ Luzino
3–4
L
19 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Wda Świecie
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
WDDLLW
8 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–0
W
1 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Elana Toruń
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Cartusia Kartuzy
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce and Stargard Szczeciński.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stargard Szczeciński 40%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejsko-Gminny w Nowych Skalmierzycach.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pogoń Szczecin II4
Tłuchowia3
Zawisza Bydgoszcz1