Value bet: SKRA Częstochowa to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSKRA Częstochowa to win42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.42
SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the III Liga Group 3 brings SKRA Częstochowa against Zagłębie Lubin II at Stadion ul. Loretańska. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
SKRA Częstochowa, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Miedź Legnica II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Zagłębie Lubin II, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kluczbork, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Zagłębie Lubin II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.4 for SKRA Częstochowa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SKRA Częstochowa 2.0 xG, Zagłębie Lubin II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SKRA Częstochowa 42%, draw 21%, Zagłębie Lubin II 37%.
Price worth noting: SKRA Częstochowa to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: SKRA Częstochowa 2–1 Zagłębie Lubin II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SKRA Częstochowa42%fair 2.39 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.90
Zagłębie Lubin II37%fair 2.69 · @2.00
3.59Expected goals
2.00SKRA Częstochowa xG
1.60Zagłębie Lubin II xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: SKRA Częstochowa 2.0 – 1.6 Zagłębie Lubin II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
SKRA Częstochowa
Zagłębie Lubin II
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
+18%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+11%
Our expected goals here
2.23
1.39
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SKRA Częstochowa to win
42%
2.39
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
SKRA Częstochowa (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Zagłębie Lubin II +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
71%
1.41
–
First team to score
SKRA Częstochowa to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
SKRA Częstochowa ahead at half-time
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SKRA Częstochowa / FT SKRA Częstochowa
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
SKRA Częstochowa – last 5
WWDLL
25 Mar
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Lechia Zielona Góra
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Legia Warszawa II
1–3
L
14 Feb
@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Zagłębie Lubin II – last 4
WWLW
22 Mar
vs Kluczbork
3–2
W
18 Mar
@ Pawłowice Śląskie
4–0
W
8 Mar
vs Górnik Polkowice
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Slavia Praha II
4–3
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SKRA Częstochowa and Zagłębie Lubin II.
What is the prediction for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
On our numbers SKRA Częstochowa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zagłębie Lubin II 37%.
How many goals will there be in SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Our predicted score is SKRA Częstochowa 2–1 Zagłębie Lubin II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ul. Loretańska.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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