Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Miedź Legnica II to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGórnik Polkowice to win ✗51% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Miedź Legnica II travel to face Górnik Polkowice on Saturday 28 March in the III Liga Group 3, with Stadion Górnik the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Górnik Polkowice are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Miedź Legnica II are 6th (upper half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Górnik Polkowice, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Miedź Legnica II, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to SKRA Częstochowa, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Górnik Polkowice, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Miedź Legnica II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Polkowice 2.0 xG, Miedź Legnica II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Polkowice 51%, draw 20%, Miedź Legnica II 29%.
Price worth noting: Miedź Legnica II to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Polkowice 2–1 Miedź Legnica II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Górnik Polkowice51%fair 1.97 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.90
Miedź Legnica II29%fair 3.47 · @3.80
3.58Expected goals
1.96Górnik Polkowice xG
1.61Miedź Legnica II xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 2.0 – 1.6 Miedź Legnica II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Górnik Polkowice
Miedź Legnica II
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
+19%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.17
2.11
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Polkowice to win✗
51%
1.97
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Górnik Polkowice (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Miedź Legnica II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
First team to score
Górnik Polkowice to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Górnik Polkowice – last 5
DLWWW
17 Mar
vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Starowice Dolne
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Polonia Nysa
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Miedź Legnica II – last 3
LDL
25 Mar
@ SKRA Częstochowa
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Sparta Katowice
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Słowianin
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Miedź Legnica II.
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Miedź Legnica II 29%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II?
Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 2–1 Miedź Legnica II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II?
Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Górnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Górnik Zabrze II2
Słowianin2
SKRA Częstochowa0